Homework 4 Solutions

 

Page 159 #12

 

x is discrete.  The number of rainy days has a finite, countable number of outcomes.

 

 

Page 160 #18

 

0 ≤ P(x) ≤ 1    for all P(x)

 

Σ P(x) = .005 + .435 + .555 + .206 = 1.201

 

Since the probabilities do not sum to 1, this is not a probability distribution.

 

 

Page 161 #26

 

(a)

 

x

P(x)

x ∙ P(x)

x-m

  P(x) ∙( x-m)2

0

.1521

0

-1.8655

0.52913

1

.2924

.2924

-0.8655

0.21903

2

.2485

.4971

0.1345

0.0045

3

.1784

.5352

1.1345

0.22957

4

.1023

.4092

2.1345

0.46627

5

.0263

.1315

3.1345

0.25856

Total

1

1.8655

 

1.70706

 

(b)  μ  = 1.8655

(c)  σ2 = 1.7071

(d)  σ  = 1.3065

 

(e)  The mean number of accidents per student is 1.8655, with a standard deviation of 1.3065accidents.

 

 

Page 162 #28

 

x

P(x)

x ∙ P(x)

x-m

(x-m)2

  P(x) ∙( x-m)2

0

.994

0

270

72,900

72,462.6

-30000

.004

-120

-29730

883,872,900

3,535,491.6

-60000

.001

-60

-59730

3,567,672,900

3,567,672.9

-90000

.001

-90

-89730

8,051,472,900

8,051,472.9

Total

1

-270

 

 

15,227,100

 

(a)  μ  = -270

(b)  σ2 = 15,227,100

(c)  σ  = 3902.192

(d) E(x) = -270

(e)  The insurance company should expect to pay $270 for each claim, with a standard deviation of $3902.19. 

 

 

 

 

Page 163 #32 (Use probabilities from Ex. 26 and substitute “accidents” for “computers”)

 

X

students

P(x)

0

260

0.152047

1

500

0.292398

2

425

0.248538

3

305

0.178363

4

175

0.102339

5

45

0.026316

Total

1710

1

 

 

 

(a)   P(no accidents) =

 

(b)   P(at least one accident) = 1 – P(no accidents) = 1 -.1521 =.8479

 

(c)   P(between 1 and 3 accidents) = P(1 accident) + P(2 accidents) + P(3 accidents) = .292398
+ .248538 + .178363 = .719

 

 

 

Page 163 #34

 

Note that you need to account for the $4 that you spend on the ticket.  So, if you win the $3150, you really only gain $3146, since you paid $4 for the ticket.

 

Gain, x

$3146

$446

$21

-$4

Probability, P(x)

1/5000

1/5000

15/5000

4983/5000

 

 

 

Page 173 #4

 

This is a binomial experiment.  “Success” is that a person does not buy something, n is 15, and p is .70.  The possible values of x  are 0, 1, 2, . . . , 15.

 

You can define success however you want.  So, it is okay to have a success defined as NOT buying something. 

 

 

Page 174 #8

 

(a) 

 

(b) 

 

(c) 

 

 

Page 175 #14

 

x

P(x)

0

1

2

3

4

5

 

 

 

(c)     μ = np = 5 x .25 = 1.25

 

(d)     σ2 = npq =  .9375

 

(e)      σ = .968246

 

(f)      The average number of adults, out of 5, that say they have no trouble sleeping at night is 1.25, with a standard deviation of .968246.  It would be unusual to find 5 out of 5 adults that said they had no trouble sleeping at night.

 

 

 

Page 176 #20 (BONUS)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 182 #2

 

Since we are given a mean, and asked to find the probability of a certain number of occurrences in an interval of time, the Poisson distribution is appropriate to answer this question.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 182 #4

 

If we think of “answering yes” as a success, with a probability of .40, then the binomial distribution is appropriate here, with the number of trials equal to the number of adults surveyed.

 

 

Page 183 #12

 

(a) 

 

(b) 

 

(c) 

 

 

Page 184 #18

 

(a) 

 

(b)  To use the Poisson distribution to approximate the binomial distribution, you must first approximate m with np:

 

 

   μ = np = 6.5

 

 

 

 

 

Note that the answers in (a) and (b) are very similar.  In this case, the Poisson approximated the binomial well.