R code, data, comments and references

Please note that some of the links to references below may be behind paywalls (i.e., you may need to pay to read them if you don't have the right library access).

Reading in data

R code to read and normalize data

GISS surface temperature data

Reference: Hansen, J., R. Ruedy, M. Sato, and K. Lo, 2010: Global surface temperature change, Rev. Geophys., 48, RG4004, doi:10.1029/2010RG000345

Latest GISS global mean temperature data set (txt format)
Rahmstorf 2007 data set (txt format)
Vermeer and Rahmstorf 2009 data set (txt format)

Church and White sea level data

References: Domingues, C.M., J.A. Church, N.J. White, P.J. Gleckler, S.E. Wijffels, P.M. Barker and J.R. Dunn (2008), Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise. Nature, 453, 1090-1094, doi:10.1038/nature07080.

Church, J. A., and N. J. White (2006), A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L01602, doi:10.1029/2005GL024826.

Latest GMSL data set (Jan. 1870- Feb. 2011) (csv format)

GMSL for 1870 to 2001 (used in Rahmstorf 2007 and Vermeer and Rahmstorf 2009) (txt format)

Climate models

Reference: WCRP Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5: Special Issue of the CLIVAR Exchanges Newsletter, No. 56, Vol. 15, No. 2

Data from 45 models (1850-2300, four RCPs) in NetCDF format

Sea level gauge data

Reference: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 53, Sea Level Variations of the United States 1854-2006.

Seattle gauge data (rlrdata format; can be read as txt)
Seattle hourly tides 1996 (txt format)

Budd inlet hourly tides 1996 (txt format)

Relating sea level to temperature

Link to our updated R07 analysis code

The following paper is the source for the model we use in our analysis.

Rahmstorf, S., 2007. A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science, 315(5810): 368-370.

The following paper is a supposed improvement on the Rahmstorf 2007 model. In our analysis we found that this model does not improve the fit, when taking into account the temporal dependence structure. The code used for this analysis is also given.

Vermeer, M. and Rahmstorf, S., 2009. Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Science, 106: 21527-21532.

R code for Vermeer and Rahmstorf 2009 analysis and our extension to the time series case.

The following paper is an alternative semi-empirical model to relate sea level to temperature. Again, our analysis shows it not to be an improvement over Rahmstorf 2007 (code not given).

Grinsted, A., Moore, J.C. and Jevrejeva, S., 2010. Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200
to 2100 AD. Climate Dynamics, 34(4): 461-472.

Relating Seattle sea level to global sea level

Link to code

Relating Olympia sea level to Seattle sea level

Link to code

Tracing sources of variability

Link to code

Likely years for given sea level rise

Link to code

Contact: peter (at) stat.washington.edu