MidTerm2-Practice
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ENGR 315 MIDTERM #2 – PRACTICE TEST QUESTIONS

For Midterm #2 Date:  See Syllabus

For the Answers:  See Solutions

Instructions for the Test: This test will be closed book. However, you will be allowed to use up to 6 pages of your own notes. You will have 50 minutes. For each problem, you should show how you got your answer. The method of the solution will count more than the numerical values. We encourage you to draw diagrams and to state, explicitly and precisely, the definition of your random variables. Good luck!

Practice Test Notes: Below are several practice test questions. These questions should provide you with an understanding of the types of concepts that may be on the test. The test will consist of four questions.

The following questions relate to the failure of television sets and their warranty's.
(a).  The television picture tubes of Manufacturer A have a mean lifetime of 5 years (mA=5) and a standard deviation of 1.11 years (sA=1.11), and follow a normal distribution.  If Manufacturer A gives a warranty for 4 years, what is the probability that a picture tube will fail during the warranty period? 
(b).  The television picture tubes of Manfacturer B also have a mean lifetime of 5 years (mB=5) but they follow a exponential distribution.  If manufacturer B gives a warranty for 4 years, what is the probabiliity that a picture tube will fail during the warranty period?  Hint: In case you need help with integrals, òaeaxdx = eax and   òae-axdx = -e-ax.  
(c).  Would you buy picture tubes from Manufacturer A or B (given they cost the same price)?  Explain why.

The following questions concern the strength of glass:
(a).  The fracture strengths of a certain type of glass have a mean of 14 (in thousands of pounds per square inch) and have a standard deviation of 2.  Using the Central Limit Theorem, find the probability that the average (sample mean) fracture strength for 100 pieces of this glass exceeds 14.5. 
(b).  As in part a above, how many samples of glass should be tested so that the sample mean would be within 0.2 of the population mean (m=14) with probability 0.95?

The manufacturer of an indutrial plant is planning to buy a new machine of either type A or type B.  For each day's operation, the number of repairs that machine type A requires, YA, is a Poisson random variable with mean 1.0, and the number of repairs that machine type B requires, YB is a Poisson random variable with mean 1.2. 
(a).  Find the probability that no repairs are needed in a day's operation for machine A.  Find the probability that no repairs are needed in a day's operation for machine B.
(b).  Suppose that the daily cost of operating machine A is CostA = 100 + 30 (YA)2 and the daily cost of operating machine B is CostB=70+30(YB)2.   Assuming that the machines are to be cleaned each night so they operate like new machine at the start of each day, find the expected daily cost for both machine types.   Hint:  Use Var(Y) = E[Y2] - m2.  
(c).  If you were a manager, would you buy machine A or B? Explain why.
In order to test gasoline mileage performance for a new version of one of its compact cars, an automobile manufacturer selected 6 nonprofessional drivers to drive a car from Phoenix to Los Angeles.  The miles per gallon values for the six cars at the conclusion of the trip were 27.2, 29.3, 31.5, 28.7, 30.2, and 29.6.  The manufacturer wishes to advertise that cars of this type average (at least) 30 mpg on such long trips.   Given the sample data, would you support or contradict this claim?

The manufacturer's recommended air pressure for a certain type of tire is 32 psi.   A random sample of n=35 such tires from different cars operated by a large rental company yields a sample average pressure and sample standard deviation of 31.4 and 1.2 respectively.  Does this data suggest the average pressure for all such tires on the company's cars differs from the recommended value?

A manufacturer claims that the average lifetime of a certain camera is 12 years.   The manufacturer wants to offer a guarantee, but is undecided whetehr to offer a 7, 8, or 9 year guarantee.  The manufacturer is not willing to replace more than 2.5% of all cameras. 
(a)  Assume that the camera's lifetime has a normal distribution with mean = 12 years and standard deviation = 1.5 years.  Find the value of b, such that the 2.5 % of all cameras have a lifetime less than b years. 
(b).  Using part a, how many years would you recommend for the guarantee?
(c).  To be convinced that this is a reasonable guarantee, the manufacturer formulates a one-tailed hypothesis test, with H0: m = 12 years and H1: m < 12 years.  Testing 36 cameras gives a sample mean of 11.5 years and a sample standard deviation of 2.7 years.   Find the critical region associated with a 0.05 level of significance. 
(d).  Summarize the conclusion from the test.  Using part c, would you change your recommendation for the guarantee?