Uncertainty

• Understanding uncertainty -- a website "that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability"
• Tannert et al 2007 article on the ethics of uncertainty

Manufactured uncertainty:  In the context of environmental regulations, it is important to understand the concept of "manufactured uncertainty" or the use of uncertainty to delay regulations to protect the public

• Michaels "Doubt is their Product"  (Scientific American paper and book)
• Michaels' 2005 AJPH commentary on scientific evidence and public policy
• See also: Industry influence on science

• New developments and guidelines in communicating uncertainty
• 2008 WHO guidelines for characterizing uncertainty in exposure assessment
• IPCC work on uncertainty

• Uncertainty and policy for environmental exposures
• Knol et al (2009) Dealing with uncertainties in environmental burden of disease assessment, Environmental Health 8:21
• van der Sluijs et al (2008) Exploring the quality of evidence for complex and contested policy decisions,  Env. Res. Letter 3, 024008
• NUSAP.net educational website dedicated to coping with uncertainty and quality in science for policy

 

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REFERENCES

Tannert, Christof, Horst‐Dietrich Elvers, and Burkhard Jandrig. "The ethics of uncertainty." EMBO reports 8.10 (2007): 892-896.

Michaels, David, and Mindy Jones. "Doubt is their product." Scientific American 292.6 (2005): 96-101.

Michaels, David. "Scientific evidence and public policy." American journal of public health 95.S1 (2005): S5-S7.